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Cacofonix's avatar

Thanks for writing this. I admire the courage it takes to put a viewpoint out there. Knowing your writing over the years, I suspect you’re not necessarily trying to be “right” here as much as trying to provoke thinking. That’s valuable.

That said, our assumptions don’t always lead us where we expect.

It’s possible the future will look like human expertise + AI leverage. But I’m not convinced. Economic incentives tend to dominate these outcomes.

If part of this is hope, that’s understandable. But history often points in a different direction.

A deliberately extreme analogy: when cars replaced horses, we lost a lot of the everyday expertise around horse riding and horse care. At the time people worried about that loss. In the end, efficiency won.

Something similar may happen here.

The future may end up being less about deep human expertise and more about human taste, judgment, and oversight — with AI doing most of the execution.

It’s not hard to imagine a world where many people no longer need to:

• code

• drive

• perform certain surgeries

Just like we no longer need to hunt for food, run long distances for survival, or live as nomads.

History suggests efficiency usually wins over preserving expertise.

Also, this framing may miss another role AI can play — helping humans build expertise and understand foundational concepts much faster than before.

The scarce human skill may end up being judgment rather than execution.

Disclosure: I wrote these points and had ChatGPT polish it.

Sarah's avatar

Thank you for the reframe and helping parents realize what they CAN control to help their children naviagate the career landscape as it will continue to change at an extremely fast pace.

I'm curious what you think of the notion that there will become more and more companies with a single owner and no employees (this already exists), and perhaps the best new set of skills that can be taught in schools are how to make money off the stock markets? This is a critical income stream for the wealthy and yet skills that are not taught to the general population. During this transition, I have zero faith our government will do the right thing to help the citizens in our country stay afloat.

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